The Roaring 2000s: Building The Wealth And Lifestyle You Desire In The Greatest Boom In History
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Rating: - Look beyond this year and this still makes a lot of sense
It may seem odd, even perverse to give a positive review to a ragingly optimistic book at the current time (the start of the second half of 2001). Originally published in 1998, Dent's relentlessly optimistic book will turn off some sober readers by his somewhat breezy style and dramatic and sweeping claims. Yet, much of the foundation of this book's case for a prolonged economic boom lasting until 2009 in the U.S. (and later in some European countries) lies in respected academic work such as the books Generations, and The Fourth Turning. Dent's message boils down to an argument that predictable generational spending waves coming with a combination of generational innovation and implementation will combine with a range of information technologies and biotechnologies to propel a sustained boom. The current downturn does not refute his thesis, unless it becomes protracted. The Roaring 2000s is aimed at a general readership, including anyone wanting to understand the major changes ahead and how to take advantage of them. Dent makes some dubious assertions, perhaps over-applying his driving forces, so the book needs to be read with a critical eye. Still, the major forces behind his claims seem to be real and compelling. Business strategists who skim this book may find that it makes sense of the current turbulence and helps them plan for the decade ahead. At the very least, Dent's irrepressible optimism can only do you good in today's gloomy business conditions.
Rating: - Great explaination of what's happening with the economy
Harry Dent's update on The Great Boom Ahead. As before, he predicts the boom will last to 2008, but he now forecasts a Dow as high as 35,000. Dent advises selling real estate and stocks in 2006 and putting the money into US Treasury bonds. Great advice if his predictions of deflation and a 15 year recession starting in 2008 are correct.The last chapter of the book "Seven Principles of Successful Investing" breaks down on one important point. Principle Six - find an objective financial advisor and pay him a fee of 1% of assets to tell you how to invest. At least 85% of advisors under perform the market so most investors would do better buying an index fund and saving the 1% advisory fee. Mr. Dent should be excused for this lapse since he discloses on page 304 that he runs a thriving business conducting seminars for financial advisors and institutional investors. We can't expect him to suggest his readers avoid doing business with his clients.
Rating: - See the Big Picture & STOP your WHINING
Dr Dent's book is a "one-stop shopping" mini-MBA course in 3 key areas of human studies: (1)Economics: how birth-waves drive economic patterns & outcomes (2)Human Consciousness: the evolution of Human Consciousness as tied to ascending living standards in The West (3)Technology: communication & learning patterns in knowledge-intense organizationsDr Dent has made an extremely important contribution with this book to the collective group of entrepreneur-economist-thinkers (EET's) of today. Anyone who reads these kinds of books is an EET who is either already in (or will soon be in) a position of leadership/ownership over The West's business infrastructure. It's cutting-edge, very sharp minds like Dent's that light the way for all the rest of us who are willing to pay a price to do the work. And, the problems of dot-bombs & terrorism aside, I must at this time pointedly counter the negativity of the many previous reviewers and readers who have recently "lost their shirts" in the stock market & who are predictably scoffing at Dent's positivism like an armchair quarterback. Here goes... It's a poor business decision for a business to "outsource" its core business activities; context yes, but core -- NO. Dent points out that in today's Knowledge Economy, each individual has now become her own small business -- regardless of whether she's W2 or 1099. All so here we have all of these professional people who have mindlessly "outsourced" their financial future to a group of mutual fund managers that they've never met (via their 401-k, and these fund managers are strictly fixed salary with NO bonus incentives based on trading volume or gains/losses for their customers). After contemplating the simple truth that their pain is actually self-inflicted, I would ask that they not blame Dent for their obvious lack of financial intelligence. They made their bed & so now it's time to go lay down in it. Read Robert Kiyosaki's "Rich Dad's Guide to Investing" to prevent a repeat of history. In closing, Dent took a risk by offering "specifics" when it comes to predicting the stock & real-estate markets. To do so is to "live & die by the sword". But atleast Dent is man enough to admit mistakes. So don't throw out the whole book because of any small disagreements with specific predictions. His overall presentation has value & is a SIGNIFICANT contribution to modern business literature.
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